Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.003008 0.003150 0.003294 0.003452 0.003620 0.003794 0.003989
2025-03-09 0.002754 0.002964 0.003186 0.003440 0.003722 0.004027 0.004382
2025-03-16 0.002580 0.002829 0.003100 0.003417 0.003780 0.004184 0.004672
2025-03-23 0.002429 0.002703 0.003005 0.003368 0.003792 0.004277 0.004879
2025-03-30 0.002308 0.002599 0.002927 0.003326 0.003803 0.004360 0.005068
2025-04-06 0.002229 0.002537 0.002890 0.003327 0.003859 0.004493 0.005317
2025-04-13 0.002101 0.002412 0.002771 0.003223 0.003781 0.004456 0.005350
2025-04-20 0.002043 0.002366 0.002745 0.003227 0.003831 0.004577 0.005583
2025-04-27 0.002013 0.002352 0.002754 0.003273 0.003935 0.004765 0.005908
2025-05-04 0.001947 0.002291 0.002703 0.003241 0.003936 0.004821 0.006061
2025-05-11 0.001892 0.002242 0.002664 0.003222 0.003951 0.004893 0.006235
2025-05-18 0.001839 0.002192 0.002623 0.003197 0.003957 0.004952 0.006392
2025-05-25 0.001814 0.002178 0.002626 0.003231 0.004042 0.005121 0.006713
2025-06-01 0.001771 0.002139 0.002597 0.003220 0.004066 0.005207 0.006918
2025-06-08 0.001726 0.002096 0.002561 0.003199 0.004075 0.005271 0.007094
2025-06-15 0.001674 0.002043 0.002508 0.003154 0.004048 0.005283 0.007192
2025-06-22 0.001627 0.001995 0.002463 0.003115 0.004029 0.005304 0.007303
2025-06-29 0.001599 0.001970 0.002446 0.003116 0.004064 0.005404 0.007536
2025-07-06 0.001534 0.001896 0.002362 0.003021 0.003959 0.005295 0.007442
2025-07-13 0.001510 0.001876 0.002349 0.003025 0.003995 0.005395 0.007677
2025-07-20 0.001502 0.001876 0.002364 0.003067 0.004089 0.005582 0.008061
2025-07-27 0.001468 0.001841 0.002329 0.003038 0.004077 0.005609 0.008185
2025-08-03 0.001440 0.001812 0.002303 0.003020 0.004080 0.005659 0.008349